The Lake, Right Now

reading the gauges…

Four gauges and a buoy

Surface elevation in feet above the 1929 datum, water temperature, and wind where the gauge reports it. Readings are nominally every fifteen minutes; the age of each is on the card, and a card whose reading is more than three hours old is marked stale.

The tilt between the gauges right now

The four gauges run a hundred and twenty miles (190 km) from Whitehall to Rouses Point, and they almost never read the same. The difference between the ends is the lake tilted in its basin — wind pushing water downwind, and the whole body then sloshing back. The seiche page is about that motion; this is its current value.

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The tilt outlook

Wind pushes the lake downhill and the lake takes most of a day to respond, which is what makes the tilt predictable at all from a wind forecast. This is the wind-driven part on its own — the slower movement, which is runoff rather than weather, is not forecast here.

Water temperature by depth at the Valcour buoy

The Valcour buoy reports a temperature every meter or two, from the surface to the bottom of its string. In summer the top few meters are far warmer than the water below the thermocline.

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The thermocline outlook

Wind blowing along the lake tilts the whole warm layer, and at this end of it the boundary can move several meters in a day.

Notes

Live: USGS National Water Information System (instantaneous values); Lake Champlain Research Institute, SUNY Plattsburgh (Valcour buoy). Outlooks: pipeline/forecast.py, scored against a skill threshold written down before it had data.